Friday, October 2, 2015

Syria & ISIS 10-2-2015

2, October 2015                                Syria & ISIS

In another odd twist to the Syrian war, Vladimir Putin has decided to lend his support to a much weaker Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. It is a pity the United States, Britain and France misjudged the Syrian dictator’s staying power and failed to support a Russian proposal to end the fighting in 2012 after peace talks started between the regime and opposition.

Since then, tens of thousands more have been killed, and ISIL militants have seized huge swaths of Syria. President Obama reluctantly admitted that only Syria and the Kurds were committed to fighting ISIS. Thus far, US efforts in Iraq have netted 5 Iraqi trained fighters at a cost of many millions of dollars and scores of US trainers.  

Recent events have demonstrated that western interventions for regime changes in Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, .  . , have been unmitigated disasters creating failed states and a dramatic rise in terrorism. Better to have a thuggish ruler over a stable state than try to remove a brutal ruler and create a dangerous vacuum (examples, Iraq, Libya). Foreign interventions have invariably united foes against the invader (examples, Iraq and Afghanistan). Putin seems to have forgotten the Soviet’s misadventure in Afghanistan. He might well be on the slippery slope of another quagmire in Syria.

Obama would be wise to seize Putin’s initiative and not lay down any preconditions, resisting the slogan, ‘Assad has to go’. The focus should be to bring an end to the fighting and neutralize the demonic ISIS. 


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